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#statistics#probability#benfordslaw
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Beginner. No background in the topic needed.
1.3M views5 years ago1 recommendation
Computer scienceMath for programmersComputation and complexity
Matt Parker analyzes the statistical claims in a Supreme Court filing and explains why the probability calculations are mathematically flawed.
This is Part III out of 'one with a quadrillion zeros' parts. Give the gift of Stand-up Maths this Christmas: patreon.com/standupmaths mathsgear.co.uk/ Part I: "Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law?" youtube.com/watch?v=etx0k1nLn78 Part II: "Do these scatter plots reveal fraudulent vote-switching in Michigan?" youtube.com/watch?v=aokNwKx7gM8 Here is the Supreme Court filing from the State of Texas: supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/22/22O155/162953/2020120723461153… Declaration of Charles J. Cicchetti, Ph.D. is in the appendix of this document, starting on page 20. supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/22/22O155/163048/2020120813282788… Behold my declaration. dropbox.com/s/337h06gx5t6tjte/Declaration%20of%20Matthew%20T… Here is the spreadsheet where I checked the combinations of states won by Democrats. dropbox.com/s/d1sat2bjb1ts9n3/combinations-of-states-won.xls… CORRECTIONS - At I accidentally said “Senate” when I meant “Congress”. But on-screen it says “House Republicans” so I think it still makes sense despite my mis-speak. - Let me know if you spot any more mistakes! Thanks to my Patreons who mean I can keep throwing time and effort at videos about this election. And don't worry, I am a prudent spender of your money: that judge's robe was hired not purchased outright. But I do now own the wig. patreon.com/standupmaths As always: thanks to Jane Street who support my channel. They're amazing. janestreet.com/ Music by Howard Carter Design by Simon Wright and Adam Robinson MATT PARKER: Stand-up Mathematician Website: standupmaths.com/ US book: penguinrandomhouse.com/books/610964/humble-pi-by-matt-parker… UK book: mathsgear.co.uk/collections/books/products/humble-pi-signed-…What people say. Recommended as a clear, high-school-level breakdown of how statistical arguments can be easily manipulated or misunderstood in public debates.
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